Chenab River Flow Stabilizes After Significant Volatility in Pakistan, according to the Ministry of Water Resources. The river experienced a significant period of volatility earlier this month. During December 10–16, 2025, flows dropped to as low as 870 cusecs, far below historical 10-year river flow ranges. This sudden drop raised concerns for farmers and flood management authorities in Punjab, Pakistan.
Satellite imagery monitoring revealed a reduction in the surface area of the Baglihar reservoir on December 8. By December 13, the reservoir showed signs of refill, suggesting India may have emptied and then replenished it. Under the Indus Waters Treaty, India cannot empty the dead storage of run-of-river hydroelectric plants on the Western Rivers. The Pakistan Commissioner for Indus Waters requested detailed data from India to clarify the extraordinary decline in flows.
By December 17, a positive shift in river hydrology occurred. River flow stabilization became visible, and discharge at Marala rose steadily. Flows reached 6,399 cusecs, entering the historical 10-year range. The Punjab Irrigation Department confirmed that by December 19, flows remained between 4,505 and 6,494 cusecs, consistent with seasonal historical averages. Such river flow stabilization ensures improved water management in Pakistan and reduces risks from floods.
The stabilization of the Chenab River flow supports agriculture and local communities in Punjab, Pakistan. Continuous monitoring and timely data sharing with India remain crucial for maintaining river health. Effective water management and adherence to treaties can prevent future extraordinary reductions in river flows.
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Chenab River flow stabilizes after volatility in Pakistan, with discharge at Marala rising and Baglihar reservoir levels improving.
